WatchTower

Currencies · free data

Mexican Peso COT positioning

Speculators are net long mexican peso, at the 75th percentile of the last three years, which is within its normal range rather than at an extreme.

Net speculative position +63,814 contracts
Three year percentile 75th within its normal range
Last more extreme within two weeks
One contract 500,000 pesos
Net speculative position, 28 October 2025 to 20 October 2026. Scaled to this market's own range over the period, from +38,201 to +90,008 contracts.

Reading as of 20 October 2026. The CFTC publishes weekly with a three day lag, so this describes the previous Tuesday. In the terminal, COT positioning carries the week on week change for every market and COT history carries this book in depth: its full history, and week by week with the weeks it flipped side. Both are Pro panels; free accounts read three months of COT history.

Reading it

What this book is, and how it behaves.

The peso is the most traded emerging market currency future and a common carry vehicle, so positioning here is sensitive to US rates as much as to Mexico.

Positioning at an extreme is a description of where the crowd sits, not a forecast. A crowded book can stay crowded for months and get more crowded on the way. What it does tell you is who is already in the trade, which is what decides how violently a market reacts when the news goes the other way.

Mexican Peso positioning, answered.

Are speculators net long or net short mexican peso?

Speculators are net long mexican peso, at the 75th percentile of the last three years, which is within its normal range rather than at an extreme. The net position is +63,814 contracts as of 20 October 2026.

What does one Mexican Peso contract represent?

One contract is 500,000 pesos. The peso is the most traded emerging market currency future and a common carry vehicle, so positioning here is sensitive to US rates as much as to Mexico.

What is the COT report?

The Commitment of Traders report is published weekly by the CFTC. It breaks open interest in US futures markets down by category of trader. The figure here is the non-commercial, or speculative, net position: long contracts minus short contracts. It is reported with a three day lag, so the newest reading describes the previous Tuesday.

Does extreme positioning mean the price will reverse?

No. Positioning describes where the crowd sits, not what happens next. Crowded books can stay crowded for months and get more crowded on the way. It is a measure of who is already in a trade, which matters for how a market reacts to news, and it is not a timing signal.